Here's the Weather forecasts, now that all three are brave enough to tell us what they think.
The service I like the most is Weather Underground because it has a sliding bar that lets you know the forecast conditions for any time during the day. It says that on Saturday temps will rise from a low of 75 at 0600 to a high of 92 at 1600. They call for 15% chance of rain at around 1300. Unfortunately, the don't give humidity or heat index forecasts, and that info is critical:
Accuweather is close with a forecast low of 72 and a high of 72 with a higher chance of rain (40%) and a heat index a brutal 116 degrees:
http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/new-wa ... 0371?day=6
The Weather Channel gives similar highs, lows and rain chances, no heat index, but shows a humidity level of 67% during the day and a whopping 80% Saturday night, which explains Accuweather's brutal heat index:
https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/Ne ... 77358:4:US
The original plan was to shoot for 8 or so miles on Saturday, with a rest at Neiderhoffer, followed by a hike around the perimeter, followed by a long siesta and a three or so mile hike to the sleeping destination at mile 51.5.
The numbers look like this:
6.5 trail miles on LST plus about 2 miles total walking off trail to and around Niederhoffer and back to the trail. Its 4.2 miles from PL #8 to the lake, so we'd be about 2/3 of the way once we finish the circuit.
Looking at the heat index given by Accuweather and the fact that TWC shows humidity actually increasing
into the night, I think we might be wise to modify our plans somewhat and make camp after we've finished the circuit of the lake and hike back to PL#8 Sunday morning, or alternatively, on to the parking area on FS206 where the trail crosses it.
If there's no other campers at the lake (and who's crazy enough to go camping in this kind of weather, huh?), we could camp there, take a swim, and hike 4 miles back early AM Sunday. If the site is occupied, we could hike back to Boswell Creek and camp close to it so we'd have a ready water source for filtering (but maybe more skeeters).
What do you guys think?